Chapter 11 Notes

©2009 by S. Gramlich

(updated 4/14/09)

 

Multinomial Table Hypothesis Testing

! = Important Note

! These Notes are not meant to replace Reading.  Read Chapter first.

 

Multinomial Probability Distribution meets all requirements of Binomial except will have 2 OR MORE outcomes

 

11-2 Chi-Square Goodness of Fit/Claimed Distribution Hypothesis Tests (for 1-way Contingency Table)

11-3 Chi-Square Hypothesis Test for Indepedence/ Homogeneity (for 2-way Contigency Table)

 

1)  Identify Hypotheses:

 

            11-2

            for Goodness of Fit Test

H0:  fits uniform distribution (probalities equal)

H1: does not fit uniform  (at least 1 of probalities not equal)

           

            for Test of Claimed Distribution

Ho:  data fits the given distribution.

H1:   data does not conform to the given distribution

 

11-3

for Test for Indepedence/ Homogeneity

Ho:  factors independent or homogeneous.

H1:  factors dependent or not homogeneous

 

2)  Write given (alpha and contingency tables)

calculate k = # of categories; row & column sums; and N = Grand Total/ Sample Size;

r = # of  rows, c = # of columns

 

3)  find critical value (cv) = cutoff value for the critical region

            11-2:  find cc2 from Table A-4 with df = k -1

            11-3: find cc2 from Table A-4 with df = (r-1)*(c-1)

 

4)  calculate test statistic (ts) = convert observed scores into a Pearson X2 approximation

first calculate Expected Values = E

 

11-2

for Goodness of Fit: E= N/k

for Claimed Distribution: E= N*p for each given p%

 

 11-3

for Indepedence/Homogeneity: E = (row total) * (column total) / N for that cell

 

test statistic: Pearson C2 approx= S [(O-E)2/E]

            ! for Goodness of fit: Observed values will change but Expected Value will be constant

                        ! for Claimed, Independence, & Homogeneity: Observed and Expected Values will change with each cell

 

5)  Draw c2 curve, label cv, ts & shade critical region.

 

6)  Traditional Method Decision Rule (DR)

            if ts is visually inside critical region, reject null.

            if ts is visually outside critical region, fail to reject null.

 

7)  find P-value = area under curve corresponding to test statistic

            P-val will be range of values in top row of Table A-4

 

8)  P-Value Method DR

            if p-val <= alpha, Reject null.

            if p-val > alpha, Fail to Reject null.

 

9)  State conclusion in words relative to the original claim.

 

TECHNOLOGY

using StatCrunch:

to find cv cc2: Stat – Calculators – Chi-Square – (enter df , >=, enter α in last box, leave 3rd box blank) – Compute

to find P-value:  Stat – Calculators – Chi-Square – (enter df , >=, enter ts in 3rd box, leave 4th box blank) – Compute

 

for Good of Fit/ Claimed Distribution HT:

Enter the Observed values in 1 column and the Expected values in another

Stat – Goodness-of-fit – Chi-Square test – (select Observed & Expected columns) – Calculate

 

for Test of Independence/ Homogeneity HT:

Enter row variable labels in column 1 and enter column values in rest of columns.

! Do not enter variable labels in 1st row as in excel.

Stat – Tables – Contigency – with summary

Click “?” for more help and an example on this procedure.

 

EXCEL commands:

Find                 Excel Command

cv cc2               =CHIINV(alpha, df)

P-value            =CHIDIST(ts, df)

                        Or =CHITEST(highlight observed, highlight expected)